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Course info
MRS / IFS
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Course description
Department/Unit / Abbreviation
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MRS
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IFS
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Academic Year
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2024/2025
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Academic Year
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2024/2025
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Title
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Introduction to Futures Studies
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Form of course completion
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Exam
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Form of course completion
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Exam
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Accredited / Credits
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Yes,
3
Cred.
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Type of completion
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Combined
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Type of completion
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Combined
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Time requirements
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Lecture
2
[Hours/Week]
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Course credit prior to examination
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No
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Course credit prior to examination
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No
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Automatic acceptance of credit before examination
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No
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Included in study average
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YES
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Language of instruction
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English
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Occ/max
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Automatic acceptance of credit before examination
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No
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Summer semester
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0 / -
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0 / -
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0 / -
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Included in study average
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YES
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Winter semester
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0 / -
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0 / -
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0 / -
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Repeated registration
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NO
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Repeated registration
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NO
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Timetable
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Yes
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Semester taught
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Summer semester
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Semester taught
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Summer semester
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Minimum (B + C) students
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not determined
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Optional course |
Yes
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Optional course
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Yes
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Language of instruction
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English
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Internship duration
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0
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No. of hours of on-premise lessons |
0
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Evaluation scale |
A|B|C|D|E|F |
Periodicity |
každý rok
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Periodicita upřesnění |
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Fundamental theoretical course |
No
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Fundamental course |
No
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Fundamental theoretical course |
No
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Evaluation scale |
A|B|C|D|E|F |
Substituted course
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None
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Preclusive courses
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N/A
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Prerequisite courses
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N/A
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Informally recommended courses
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N/A
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Courses depending on this Course
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N/A
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Histogram of students' grades over the years:
Graphic PNG
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XLS
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Course objectives:
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The principle objective is to make students familiar with history of future studies (foresight) and with selected foresight methods (for example delphi method, writting scenarios, extrapolation method, brainstorming, genius forecasting, etc.).
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Requirements on student
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literature reading, essay writing and/or small-scale individual foresight project
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Content
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"Introduction to Futures Studies" is not about predicting the future. The purpose of this course is to systematically explore both possible and desirable futures to improve our decisions and decision making. The outcome of futures studies depends on the methods used and the skills of the practitioners. Its methods can be quantitative or qualitative. It helps to provide a framework to better understand the present and to expand mental horizons. Structure of the course: 1. History of futures studies 2. Key actors in futures studies during last 80 years 3. Definitions of futures studies and foresight, explorative and normative approach to futures studies 4. Methods of forecasting (branstorming, delphi method, extrapolation) 5. Methods of forecasting (scenario method, participatory methods, analogy method) 6. Methods of forecasting (megatrend analysis, simulation and games, genius forecasting) 7. Examples of interesting/inspiring projects (reports to the Club of Rome, Millennium Project) 8. Global trends influencing our common future (climate change, biodiversity) 9. Global trends influencing our common foture (violence, wars, infectious diseases) 10. Global trends (environmental issues - desertification, deforestation, ozone layer depletion etc.) 11. Opportunites and threts of global governance 12. What remains to be discovered? 13. Final discussions and conclusion.
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Activities
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Fields of study
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Guarantors and lecturers
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Literature
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Recommended:
Toffler, A., Tofflerová, H. Nová civilizace. Třetí vlna a její důsledky. Praha: Dokořán, 2001.
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Recommended:
Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner. Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction.. New York: Broadway books, 2015.
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Recommended:
Nováček, P. Sustainable Development or Collapse, Regeneration and Transformation?. Palacký University Press, Olomouc, 2015.
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Recommended:
Bishop, Hines. Teaching about the Future. 2012.
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On-line library catalogues
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Prerequisites - other information about course preconditions |
- |
Competences acquired |
lepší přehled o rozvojových trendech (příležitostech i rizicích rozvoje), osvojení si základů myšlení orientovaného na budoucnost |
Teaching methods |
- Lecture
- Dialogic Lecture (Discussion, Dialog, Brainstorming)
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Assessment methods |
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