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Lecturer(s)
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Nováček Pavel, doc. RNDr. CSc.
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Course content
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For the research, various qualitative and quantitative research methods are applied, including typical forecasting methods, such as Delphi. Scanning uncovers signals of upcoming change which may be weak at this point. The outputs often involve so called wild cards. Forecasting then describes the upcoming changes and maps the options for influencing these changes, creating so called future forecasts or scenarios of future change.
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Learning activities and teaching methods
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Monologic Lecture(Interpretation, Training), Methods of Written Work, Activating (Simulations, Games, Dramatization)
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Learning outcomes
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Mapping possible futures involves three areas: research that maps the past developments and the context of the topic being forecasted, scanning of the signs of change already happening and forecasting covering the creation of projections to describe the anticipated shape of change.
Students will understand the basic principles of mapping possible futures.
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Prerequisites
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Assessment methods and criteria
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Mark
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Recommended literature
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Amy Web. (2016). The signals are talking.. New York: Public Affairs.
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